It’s a time of low unemployment across the Midwest, leading to a labor shortage that’s stunting the growth of urban and rural businesses. Given that Donald Trump campaigned on a staunchly pro-business platform, one would think he’d have instituted policies benefiting everything from high-tech startups to huge dairy operations.
In reality, lots of companies are still looking for help, especially businesses that rely on immigrant labor. That could be places like meatpacking plants, produce-harvesting operations or landscaping and construction companies —work that many Americans would turn their nose up at — or tech startups looking for coding experts.
“Any time there’s change, change creates uncertainty,” says Kyle Averhoff, who owns Royal Dairy east of Garden City, Kansas. “So, I think you just see people that are looking for answers of what the future looks like.”
Averhoff and other agriculture-based businesses across the Midwest and Great Plains that depend on immigrant labor are scrambling to keep their operations staffed.
“Today, it’s definitely a tighter labor market than it was 10 or 15 years ago,” Averhoff says, adding about his 6,000-head-of-cattle dairy that employs many immigrants from Latin America, “We’re glad to have the people we have, and it’s not always easy to go and find the next people.”
Some lawmakers in Washington, D.C., and Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue are championing a bill that would change how guest-worker visas are doled out. But that legislation has taken a backseat to the Trump administration’s other priorities, such as tax cuts.
Trump has yet to follow through on campaign promises to build a wall spanning the U.S.-Mexico border or launch a massive deportation force that would bus millions of immigrants out of the country.
Yet, high-profile deportations, like those following raids on 7-Eleven stores earlier this year, have spiked. The number of people caught trying to sneak over the southern border plummeted after the November 2016 election. And Trump says he wants to cut legal immigration in half to about a half-million people a year.
It’s hard to tell how big of a dent any of it has put in the labor market, but it may be depressing workers’ productivity.
“Mostly we’ve been combating a lot of fear,” Cimarron, Kansas, attorney Michael Feltman says. Speaking with KCUR last summer, he says he’s been practicing immigration law for a decade and believed Trump administration policies were creating heightened anxiety in rural communities.
“You get Mom and Dad who are afraid, because ‘Oh, man we’ve got some new person in there who’s going to send everyone out of the country’. Well, then that affects the kids, it’s going to be affecting them at school, which affects the teachers,” he says.
Trump’s policies aren’t the only thing troubling immigrant workers — especially well-paid, highly-skilled professionals.
When two Indian immigrants who worked at Garmin were shot almost a year ago at an Olathe restaurant, the suspect yelled “Get out of my country” before opening fire. One of the victims, Srinivas Kuchibhotla, died in the attack.
It was a serious gut check for, like Suneethi Kuruppath, who moved to the U.S. for work.
“Especially after the presidential election, everybody can talk anything, it’s public,” Kuruppath said last year at a vigil for Kuchibhotla. “The hatred is normalized. If anybody can talk about anything, and if anybody can talk hatred, and spread hatred, and normalize hatred, we are losing our civility,” she said.
She worried at the time that the political atmosphere is dimming the appeal of good American jobs, which could be catastrophic to Kansas City’s burgeoning tech industry.
“The jobs are here, the people are not,” KC Tech Council President Ryan Webber says.
The shortage of technically skilled workers is shackling the growth of local tech startups, which pay almost $90,000, he says. Most Americans lack the coding and engineering skills needed, Weber says, but those abilities are abundant in places like India.
Area Republicans, including Kansas U.S. Rep. Kevin Yoder, Kansas U.S. Sen. Jerry Moran and Missouri U.S. Sen. Roy Blunt, have been leading efforts to expand immigration opportunities for high-tech workers.
But in the meantime, Weber says, tech-company owners he talks with have yet to see a benefit from Trump immigration policies when it comes to filling jobs. Instead, they’re recruiting immigrants from the graduating classes of regional universities.
Problem is, those schools aren’t seeing as many foreign engineering and coding students anymore, as international student enrollment has tanked in the Midwest. So, President Trump’s impact on the job market may just be starting to take hold.
Frank Morris is a national NPR correspondent and senior editor at KCUR 89.3. You can reach him on Twitter @FrankNewsman